System Description

A short-term rule-based system that targets ascending phase of Daily Cycles that are most likely to have strong trending moves relative to their volatility within the context of their corresponding intermediate cycles. The system can go long only.

The Big Picture

The system can only be utilized in ascending phase of Gold’s 8-Year Cycle, which is a synonym for a cyclical bull market in Gold.

Beliefs, concepts and definitions

  1. Intermediate Cycles in Gold last 20-25 weeks and the rule of thumb is: there are two intermediate cycles per calendar year.
  2. Intermediate cycles comprised of 3 or 4 Daily Cycles , which last 25-40 days.
  3. Decline into an Intermediate Cycle Low almost always produces at least one failed daily cycle.

Entry

Initial Stop

Exits

Position Sizing